4kiraL

Am 10.6.2021 um 10:07 schrieb 4kiraL:

Mark my words: Denmark will win.

 

^

Told you guys 3 weeks ago that Denmark is gonna win the Euros.

vor 21 Minuten schrieb Cornbuster:

 

@4kiraL

Er fragt für sich, weil er wegen meiner Idee mit dem Indoorpool ganz hibbelig is und sich's von HUB-Gebühren nicht leisten kann.

Meinen Berechnungen zufolge, sollte man sein gesamtes Vermögen heute Abend auf den Sieg von Ukraine tippen. Ukraine 5:1 England. Einfacher kann man nicht Millionär werden. Kann man sich gleich zwei Pools gönnen.

vor 11 Minuten schrieb thomue1987:

gibst du zufällig Fernkurse (auch wenn die EM bald vorbei is, aber der Fussball geht ja weiter).

Ich bin mir nicht sicher, ob man damit Geld machen kann, aber ich glaube ernsthaft das ist möglich... dafür müsste man sich die Daten aus der Vergangenheit genauer angucken, z.B. wüsste ich gern, wie Buchmacher auf ihre Wettquoten kommen, dann kann man versuchen das zu schlagen.

Wäre aber interessant.

Gerade eben schrieb thomue1987:

alter.

Was ne Theorie und wieviele Gedanken du dir da machst. Du arbeitest nich zufällig für die Wettmafia? Frage für einen Freund..

Ich habe einen Abschluss in Mathematik. Aber du kannst mich auch Wettmafiaboss nennen.

vor 21 Minuten schrieb raylight:

 

 

Moin Leute !

Das mit den Tipps dürft ihr nicht so ernst nehmen. Ist ja statistisch erwiesen, dass man als 1:0 bzw. 2:1 Tipper immer im vorderen Drittel landet.

Ich hab das mal schnell hier für die EM eingetippt:

Wenn einer sich nur die Tippquoten angeschaut hat, um so den Sieger zu bestimmen und dann konsequent 2:1 getippt hat, hätte er aktuell 78 Punkte, mit einem 1:0 sogar 80 Punkte.

Damit wäre man bei uns schon fast in der Top20 der Tipper.

 

Von daher, immer locker durch die Hose atmen.

Habt einen schönen Tag und viel Spaß beim Relaxen !

Korrekt, im Schnitt fallen 2,5 bis 3 Tore pro Spiel. Von der Statistik her lohnt es sich am meisten 1:0, 2:1, 2:0 oder 1:1 tippen, weil diese Resultate am häufigsten vorkommen. Selbst wenn starke teams auf schwache teams treffen, fallen meistens gar nicht so viele Tore.

Ich tippe nie Unentschieden, weil ein Unentschieden nur in 25% der Fälle vorkommt. Der Erwartungswert ist höher, selbst wenn man blind auf den Sieg irgendeiner der beiden teams tippt.

Das Tippspiel ist so gebaut, dass man extra Punkte für die korrekte Differenz bekommt. Weil 2:1 und 1:0 die häufigsten Ergebnisse sind, ist man gut damit bedient, nur eines dieser beiden Resultate zu tippen und wenn das andere Ergebnis eintritt kriegt man halt 3 statt 4 Punkte.

Die Kunst besteht immer noch darin herauszufinden, welches Team die höheren Siegeschancen hat. Natürlich kommt man dann weit, wenn man immer auf die Mannschaft mit der besseren Tippquote tippt... Aber ich denke nicht, dass das immer so aussagekräftig ist. Habe also nicht auf die Tippquote geachtet, sondern auf das Team, das ich für stärker erachte.

Habe auch immer Heimvorteil mit einbezogen.

I think the Belgium vs Italy game today was the true final of this tournament. Italy will just steamroll the rest.

ITMFL is getring a 4k Remaster but has a 4k disc been planned yet? I can imagine that films like these might never get a 4k release.

vor 1 Stunde schrieb Garypool:

I got the lenti but wish I got the full-slip hahah. The beauty shot didn't convey the texture on the full-slip so it looked a bit tacky to me, but looks killer in person. Anyway, can't wait to receive the lenti soon hopefully. Never seen the film so interested to watch it! Love me some "film" films.

Me too. I just ordered an extra Full Slip on ebay haha.

Am 15.6.2021 um 14:16 schrieb Casiusco:

I still can't understand why there is no OC.

They make them for less expected editions...

 

Either they are saving a great asset for possible future collector's editions in 4K, or I don't understand it.

Yes, what a missed opportunity. All Wong Kar Wai films and Apocalypse now should be with OC box. These films are so popular, why would you not do it. In the mood for love even already sold out on novamedia despite 3000 print run. SMH.

vor einer Stunde schrieb R1s1ngs0n:

Well done to Switzerland who deserved to win after France inexplicably stopped defending in the final minutes. Spain has their work cut for them as the Swiss showed that they are a mentally robust collective with no inferiority complex.

Something was clearly off with Mbappe tonight... practically invisible and lacking any spark the whole match.

I'm sure France will now root for Germany to win the tournament so we can say we were the only team to beat them 😁

Now I'm gonna devour a huge bar of Swiss Toblerone to cheer myself up.

I am sorry my friend. But we will win the Euros only if hell freezes over.

Never in my life seen a ball receiption like that before. Benzema really is world class.

Great pass and excellent finish. Solid technique by Morata.

What an awesome game. I still think Croatia can come back.

Edit: Omg, another goal from Spain!!!!!

vor 4 Minuten schrieb R1s1ngs0n:

Why don’t I ever learn?

Changed winner at the last minute because @deckard99 bet on Portugal to win and following his correct prediction on the previous game, I thought he was clairvoyant.
3pts gone 😤

Just bet on Belgium every timeb because they gonna win the tournament 

I am glad about that red card. Better Chances for Denmark to reach the semis now

vor 2 Stunden schrieb Guiltybyproxy:

I got this and it does not disappoint. The only weird thing is it seems to be a little shorter than regular steelbooks (like 1-2 cm). Other than that it's great and beautiful. 

That's wierd. I didn't notice that. I keep it in the Slip cover anyway because I think it's a bit nicer than the steelbook itself.

vor 13 Minuten schrieb tr0llhatt:

I do believe that's what some of us do - aka, 'Honey, I need new shelves!!' See it soon on your screen of choice!



Organisation? Pffffff, get the frak outta here!

This makes me uncomfortable

I think we should just go for After penalties this time because that's how it's established. We shouldn't change last minute.

I prefer after 90 min, though because I am used to that from other tippspiels. There is still next year for World Cup we can change to after 90 or 120 minutes if people wish?

vor 22 Minuten schrieb bilbon:

 

well this is only my opinion but if 4 of the 8 matches have to go into extra time and see shots on goal, it seems quite complicated to me to find the exact number of penalties scored for the two teams, it is already not easy to  find an exact score then find the outcome on penalties and even overtime, it seems impossible to me 😄🤪

 

@thomue1987

 

what do you think my friend ? 

 

Yes, predicting the correct outcome of a regular game is difficult enough. I don't think it would be good to add even more randomness and luck to it.

That is why I would prefer goals after 90 min ( or at least goals after 120 min)

vor 3 Stunden schrieb bilbon:

 

 

can we change each of us to bet on a dry result without overtime and penalty shootout?  or is this necessarily the result after possibly extra time and penalties if there is

 

I would prefer this as well. 

These teams need better psychologal training. They lost their composure after the own goal. The mental strength to shrug mistakes off makes a good athlete.

@rtphoenix you finally took over 1st place nice predictions

vor 54 Minuten schrieb cgbaxia:

I don't have it. In your opinion what was it subpart?? Maybe someday I may get it..

What I love about it is that it's a very sturdy box that looks nice on the shelf.

I also really love what goodies are inside but I don't like the quality of them.

There are a lot of issues that you would not expect from a "Premium Edition". Lots of dirty stains and scratches all over the folder and Digipak. Goodies are accidentally glued to the Folder, so that I can't pull it off.

The most annoying part is the cheap feel of the Booklet that had creases from the get go. IIRC two images in it have very low resolution and the overall presentation looks amateurish. The included poster of Scarlet Johannson has low resolution as well. Some post cards have printing errors where you can see horizontal lines crossing the image horizontal scratches.

However, the Lenti effect is pretty cool. You need to decide for yourself if it's worth it.

I bet UHD Club is learning from their mistakes and will improve in the future but it still doesn't change the fact that the Prestige Edition is, in my humble opinion, disappointing.

vor 1 Stunde schrieb cgbaxia:

The prestige would be  a nice surprise if it's.

I really hope for another edition of Prestige cuz the quality of UHD Club's Prestige was subpar.

Fun Fact: Portugal is the first team to ever score two own goals in a single EURO game.

Well played by both teams. Two unlucky own goals by Portugal. But I think Germany deservedly won in the end.